India's well-known capability deficit with China in the vital field of stealth fighters is now an all-out operational emergency due to a startling new estimate. According to veteran China military analyst Andreas Rupprecht, who wrote for the US defense journal The War Zone, China may already have 500 of its most sophisticated J-20 Mighty Dragon stealth fighters in service.
If accurate, that is more than twice as many as many people thought were already serving on the front lines.
More importantly, it implies that China has increased production of one of the most sophisticated combat aircraft in the world to a level that seems to exceed that of the United States.This is a major operational warning sign for India.
At least some Chinese J-20 units have been stationed in Tibet, close to India's border, according to earlier reports from NDTV. These aircraft are built to strike first, avoid detection by radar, and survive in tightly guarded airspace.
Stealth fighters shape the battlefield in contemporary warfare. They strike high-value targets, pursue enemy fighters and air defense systems, enter contested airspace first, and make it easier for the rest of the air force to function.One clear lesson from Operation Sindoor is that air power is essential to India's strategy for fighting future conflicts.
However, solutions to China's covert revolution are still incredibly elusive.
Ten years remain until India's in-development stealth fighter, the AMCA, is put into service. The Russian Su-57 could be our only emergency import, but it's neither the finest use of India's resources nor the perfect stealth fighter.
In addition, long-term interest in participating in Europe's FCAS sixth generation program exists. However, that is not a project for a conflict that might start tomorrow, but rather for the next ten years. However, by the time the AMCA is put into service, China may already have two fleets of sixth-generation fighters and about a thousand J-20s, many of which have undergone considerable upgrades.This is not to argue that India would be helpless in the face of such a danger.
But in a battle, numbers count. Additionally, India is beginning from zero by that metric.The Indian Air Force, which has the best understanding of the problem, is not being criticized.
The true issue is decades of uneven planning, delayed decisions, and the incapacity to produce sophisticated combat aircraft on a large scale. This has led to an industrial gap that is currently developing into a significant operational deficit.The need for stealth fighters in India is no longer a doubt. It certainly does.
The question is whether this most recent reality check can finally instill the urgency, creativity, and unconventional thinking required to bridge a gap that is growing far more quickly than India is doing.