A new low-pressure system is likely to form over the southeast Bay of Bengal on November 22, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) has indicated, with early assessments showing that the system may intensify as it travels across the sea.Nevertheless, the weather officials have not yet made any predictions regarding which coastal locations would be severely affected or whether the disturbance will turn into a cyclone.
The weather service predicts that minimum temperatures in most districts will rise by 2 to 3°C over the next three days, indicating that the winter chill that struck Odisha earlier this week has somewhat subsided.
Low Pressure Is More Likely to Turn Into Depression
Initial forecasts indicate that after the low-pressure region forms, it will probably travel west-northwest and progressively intensify. The system might get more intense and form a depression over the central south Bay of Bengal by November 24.As the storm moves southwest into deeper ocean waters, additional strengthening is anticipated over the next 48 hours, according to IMD estimates; however, at this point, no advice regarding wind impact or rainfall zones has been released.
Despite several global models indicating the strengthening, IMD has not yet provided any estimations regarding its ultimate intensity or whether it could develop into a cyclonic circulation.
Odisha's Changing Cold Climate
Jharsuguda reported 11°C at 5:30 am over the past two days, while G. Udayagiri in Kandhamal recorded one of the lowest temperatures in the state this season—5.4°C. Six places recorded temperatures below 10°C earlier this week, demonstrating the severity of the cold before the current slight increase.In many places, the dip in temperature has been accompanied by thick fog, making it difficult for morning commuters to get to work.
Once the system forms over the water and its track becomes more certain, the IMD is anticipated to offer a more precise assessment. The low-pressure system will be monitored for the next 72 to 96 hours to see if it develops into a major system or stays confined to sea-based circulation.