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Bihar results for 2025: Why Nitish is expected to get stronger and the NDA is expected to hold onto power | 3 main points

In a state where mass, unrestrained politics has been the rule thus far, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), which seemed to be headed towards a repetition or even an improvement of its 2020 assembly election result of 74, has managed to solidify a cadre.
Political analyst Prabhat Singh stated, "There is no doubt that the BJP has put in place a cadre, something that it had lacked all these years."
The second, and possibly most significant, option is for Nitish Kumar, who is currently Bihar's longest-serving chief minister, to return once more. His JD(U) aims to surpass his 43 assembly seats from 2020.

His mobilization of the Extreme Backward Classes (EBC) and his primary vote bank of women, who turned out in significant numbers, have demonstrated that his cunning and audacity are more than merely intact.
Potential opponents inside the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), such as Chirag Paswan and other tiny caste-based groups, who had been a pain in the ass the previous time, might be easily defeated by Nitish.
Since taking office as chief minister in 2000, Nitish Kumar has led the state through multiple coalition administrations, frequently alternating between the BJP and the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD).

Although he has been called a political "flip-flopper" because to these repeated realignments, they demonstrate his unparalleled capacity to endure and stay relevant in Bihar's volatile political landscape.
Giving the Congress more than sixty seats under the pretense of "resurgence" could be expensive for the Mahagathbandhan or the Grand coalition. It's possible that the party won fewer seats than the 19 it did in 2020.
The fact that the Congress and the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) fought "friendly" elections for roughly 11 seats raises severe concerns about Congress's capacity to form coalitions and will undoubtedly have long-term repercussions.