At 8:30 AM IST on February 19, a low-pressure system continued to linger over the Equatorial Indian Ocean and the nearby southwest Bay of Bengal. The system is predicted to proceed west-northwest toward Sri Lanka and progressively diminish over the course of the following day, per the most recent meteorological update.
Most Likely to Form a New System
Meteorologists have predicted the creation of a new weather system even as the current low pressure system waned. As of 8:30 AM IST on February 19, an upper-air cyclonic circulation has formed over the Equatorial Indian Ocean and the nearby southeast Bay of Bengal, reaching the middle troposphere.
Within the next 24 hours, a new low-pressure area is probably going to form over the same area due to its effect. After that, this storm is predicted to move west-northwest, which could have an impact on the weather across the southern regions of the nation and the nearby oceans.
Furthermore, there is currently a trough in the lower tropospheric levels that stretches from the Lakshadweep region to the cyclonic circulation connected to the current low-pressure area. Over the Indian peninsula, this trough is probably going to increase convection and moisture intrusion.
Forecasted Rainfall and Weather Alerts
Andaman and Nicobar Islands: On February 19, there is a chance of heavy rainfall in certain areas.
Kerala & Mahe and South Tamil Nadu: On February 21 and 22, there may be isolated areas with heavy rains.
Lightning, thunder, and gusty winds
On February 19, Uttarakhand and the Andaman and Nicobar Islands had isolated to sporadic light to heavy rainfall along with thunderstorms, lightning, and gusty winds of 30 to 40 kmph.
Similar circumstances are anticipated on February 21 and 22 in Tamil Nadu, Kerala, and Mahe.
The following weather patterns are anticipated in different places due to the combined effect of these systems:
Madhya Pradesh: On February 19, isolated locations are expected to experience thunderstorms and lightning.
Kerala & Mahe: February 20 and 23 are also predicted to see thunderstorms and lightning.
In Northern India, there is snowfall and rainfall.
Himachal Pradesh: On February 23, there may be isolated rainfall or snowfall.
Uttarakhand: Between February 22 and 24, isolated snowfall and showers are anticipated.
Outlook for Eastern India
Odisha: On February 23 and 24, there may be isolated light showers, thunderstorms, and lightning.
Similar circumstances are anticipated on February 24 in Gangetic West Bengal and Jharkhand.