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The IMF predicts that India would expand 6.6% faster in 2026 than China.

According to Reuters, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicted that India's economy would grow by 6.6% in fiscal year 2025–2026, solidifying its standing as the major country with the fastest rate of growth in the world.
According to the IMF, the upgrade reflects robust growth in services, a resurgence in manufacturing, and strong momentum in domestic consumption. India is predicted to outperform other major economies, such as China, whose growth is estimated to be 4.8% in 2026.
The IMF noted that India's growth in the April–June quarter was surprisingly strong at 7.8%, which helped counteract the negative effects of higher U.S. tariffs and uncertainties surrounding international trade. Additionally, the organisation slightly increased its prediction from its earlier estimate of 6.4% to 0.2 percentage points.

According to the IMF's World Economic Outlook report, "India will still expand at a healthy pace of 6.6% next year," and the nation's economy is predicted to continue to grow at the fastest rate among developed, emerging, and developing nations.
Three main factors are cited by economists as the main causes of this resilience: robust private consumption, infrastructure-driven investment, and reform momentum. "The private sector and the adoption of technologies developed elsewhere are driving growth," said Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, IMF Economic Counsellor, at a news briefing.
However, there are some warnings about the forecast. The IMF issued a warning about a precarious global environment where growth may be hampered by trade policy shocks, investment slowdowns, and structural limitations. In light of those uncertainties, it reduced India's GDP forecast for 2026–2027 to 6.2%.

The IMF projects that worldwide growth will be 3.2% in 2025 and 3.1% in 2026, which is in line with India's performance. In the same time frame, advanced economies are predicted to rise by a meagre 1.6%.
This positive outlook creates new expectations for Indian policymakers. According to analysts, the focus today is on how to provide growth in a sustainable and inclusive manner. "India needs to take advantage of this chance to increase employment, lower poverty, and make investments in infrastructure, healthcare, and education," said Dr. Manoranjan Sharma of Infomerics Ratings.
India's ability to translate headline figures into widespread gains will be put to the test during the next years. Productivity gains, labour market improvements, and structural reforms are still necessary if the nation is to transition from rapid growth to long-term development.